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 Post subject: Prediction League
PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2017 1:15 pm 
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Joined: Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:43 am
Posts: 5
Stafford v Grantham
Predictions: Stafford win 11, draw 1, Grantham win 0
Grantham win.

Spennymoor v Grantham
Predictions: Spennymoor win 10, draw 2, Grantham win 0
Grantham win.

Grantham v Stourbridge
Predictions: Grantham win 1, draw 4, Stourbridge win 5
Grantham win.

At home to Matlock on Tuesday, you know what to do!


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 Post subject: Re: Prediction League
PostPosted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 10:10 pm 
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Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 8:56 pm
Posts: 1452
Location: West Molesey, Surrey
Grantham v Matlock
Predictions: Grantham win 10, Matlock win 3.
Grantham do not win.

As they say, be careful what you wish for ...
:wink:


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 Post subject: Re: Prediction League
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 1:41 pm 
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Joined: Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:43 am
Posts: 5
Don't worry, I didn't really see any correlation between the predictions and the result! It does show one thing though, the wisdom of crowds is useful on some guesses (I once found with one fixture if you took all the guesses for attendance and took the average it was spot on with the actual crowd!) it doesn't work with random things such as football results. I'm pretty sure a random number generator would do just as well in the prediction league as anyone else, and that I guess is why we both love and loath football...that the only predictable thing in it is it's unpredictability.


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 Post subject: Re: Prediction League
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 4:22 pm 
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Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 8:56 pm
Posts: 1452
Location: West Molesey, Surrey
I agree that one of the main attractions of 'our kind of football' is that standards are much more even than in, say, the Premier League - and so results are entertainingly less predictable.

However, as I add up the prediction scores every week, I do not believe it is true to say the scores are 'random' - that is, that in any week, Blyth (say) are just as likely to win as (say) Skelmersdale. No offence meant to the latter. You are welcome to give it a try with a random number generator for a few weeks!

Where I think you are absolutely right is that the attendances are more consistently accurately predictable. The predictors in this site's competition who do well or less well over time are those who put some effort and research into their gate guesses.


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 Post subject: Re: Prediction League
PostPosted: Sun Feb 19, 2017 2:53 pm 
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Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 7:39 pm
Posts: 99
Yeah, well done St Albans, Mickleover v Grantham, 10 Grantham win, 3 draw, 1 Mickleover win. Grantham do not win.

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